Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.003317 0.003479 0.003644 0.003826 0.004020 0.004222 0.004448
2025-06-08 0.003013 0.003252 0.003505 0.003795 0.004119 0.004471 0.004883
2025-06-15 0.002796 0.003075 0.003378 0.003734 0.004144 0.004604 0.005160
2025-06-22 0.002633 0.002938 0.003276 0.003684 0.004163 0.004714 0.005401
2025-06-29 0.002529 0.002858 0.003230 0.003686 0.004234 0.004880 0.005705
2025-07-06 0.002377 0.002713 0.003098 0.003577 0.004164 0.004867 0.005785
2025-07-13 0.002303 0.002655 0.003064 0.003580 0.004224 0.005010 0.006059
2025-07-20 0.002262 0.002633 0.003070 0.003630 0.004341 0.005225 0.006433
2025-07-27 0.002185 0.002562 0.003013 0.003598 0.004351 0.005303 0.006627
2025-08-03 0.002118 0.002502 0.002966 0.003575 0.004369 0.005389 0.006835
2025-08-10 0.002055 0.002445 0.002919 0.003549 0.004381 0.005465 0.007028
2025-08-17 0.002034 0.002437 0.002934 0.003603 0.004498 0.005685 0.007431
2025-08-24 0.001983 0.002392 0.002900 0.003591 0.004529 0.005789 0.007677
2025-08-31 0.001928 0.002339 0.002855 0.003563 0.004534 0.005859 0.007876
2025-09-07 0.001865 0.002274 0.002791 0.003507 0.004499 0.005869 0.007985
2025-09-14 0.001809 0.002217 0.002736 0.003461 0.004475 0.005891 0.008112
2025-09-21 0.001776 0.002188 0.002717 0.003463 0.004517 0.006010 0.008391
2025-09-28 0.001704 0.002108 0.002627 0.003363 0.004412 0.005910 0.008323
2025-10-05 0.001676 0.002083 0.002611 0.003366 0.004453 0.006024 0.008598
2025-10-12 0.001665 0.002082 0.002626 0.003412 0.004558 0.006238 0.009041
2025-10-19 0.001627 0.002042 0.002588 0.003382 0.004550 0.006280 0.009207
2025-10-26 0.001594 0.002009 0.002558 0.003361 0.004553 0.006339 0.009402
2025-11-02 0.001561 0.001975 0.002525 0.003337 0.004551 0.006388 0.009582